719
days
14
Hours
57
Minutes
42
Seconds
~50.6前回の halving からのマイニング済みブロックの割合（%）
Estimated Date
April 2028
New Block Reward
1.5625 BTC
過去の halving
halving #1
November 28, 2012
半減期後の報酬
25 BTC
半減期時の価格
$12
Price 1 Year Later
$1,100
9067%halving #2
July 9, 2016
半減期後の報酬
12.5 BTC
半減期時の価格
$650
Price 1 Year Later
$2,500
285%halving #3
May 11, 2020
半減期後の報酬
6.25 BTC
半減期時の価格
$8,700
Price 1 Year Later
$56,000
544%halving #4
April 19, 2024
半減期後の報酬
3.125 BTC
半減期時の価格
$63,800
Price 1 Year Later
TBD
Bitcoin半減期とは何ですか？
All investments carry risk. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile. Gold prices can also fluctuate. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This guide is educational only — not financial or investment advice.
Digital gold versus physical gold. Compare the two most prominent store-of-value assets across scarcity, returns, volatility, and portfolio fit.
halving の仕組みはどのように機能しますか？
Bitcoin is better for growth potential and digital-native investors. Gold is better for capital preservation and proven stability.
Block 0 – 209,999 · 50 BTC per block
Block 210,000 – 419,999 · 25 BTC per block
Block 420,000 – 629,999 · 12.5 BTC per block
Block 630,000 – 839,999 · 6.25 BTC per block
Block 840,000–1,049,999 → 3.125 BTC (current)
Block 1,050,000+ → 1.5625 BTC (next_halving)
Bitcoin, launched in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto, is the world's first and largest cryptocurrency. Often called "digital gold," it was designed as a decentralised, peer-to-peer monetary system with a mathematically enforced supply cap of 21 million coins.
半減期はなぜBitcoinの価格に影響を与えるのですか？
Bitcoin's scarcity is guaranteed by code, not geology. The halving mechanism reduces new supply issuance by 50% approximately every four years, making Bitcoin the first asset with a perfectly predictable and decreasing inflation rate. As of 2024, approximately 19.7 million BTC have been mined.
| 指標 | Before 2024 | After 2024 | After 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Block reward | 6.25 BTC | 3.125 BTC | 1.5625 BTC |
| Daily new BTC | ~900 BTC | ~450 BTC | ~225 BTC |
| Annual inflation | ~1.7% | ~0.85% | ~0.4% |
半減期後の価格パターン
Pre-Halving Accumulation (6–12 months before)
Smart money and long-term holders accumulate BTC in anticipation. Price typically rises 30–100% in the months leading up to the halving.
Post-Halving Consolidation (0–6 months after)
Price often consolidates or dips as the event is 'priced in.' This phase tests the patience of speculators.
Parabolic Rally (6–18 months after)
The supply reduction takes effect. New demand from retail FOMO and institutional interest drives exponential price growth.
Blow-Off Top & Bear Market (18–30 months after)
Euphoria peaks, prices overshoot, and a correction follows. The bear market typically retraces 70–85% from the all-time high.
重要な注意事項： With only four halvings in Bitcoin's history, the sample size is too small to draw statistically significant conclusions. Each cycle has unique macro conditions.
よくある質問
次のBitcoin半減期はいつですか？+
halving は常に価格上昇をもたらしますか？+
2,100万枚のBitcoinがすべて採掘されたらどうなりますか？+
halving のスケジュールは変更できますか？+
半減期の前後にBitcoinを購入すべきでしょうか？+
Bitcoin の halving は、他の暗号資産の供給メカニズムと比べてどう違いますか？+
Gold has been a universal store of value for over 5,000 years, outlasting every fiat currency, empire, and financial system in history. Its unique chemical properties — it doesn't corrode, is easily malleable, and is scarce enough to be valuable but plentiful enough to serve as money — make it irreplaceable.
Institutional adoption has accelerated with the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US, sovereign adoption (El Salvador), and corporate treasury strategies (MicroStrategy, Tesla). Bitcoin trades 24/7 on global exchanges with deep liquidity.