719
days
15
Hours
27
Minutes
00
Seconds
~50.6% 마지막 halving 이후 채굴된 블록 비율
Estimated Date
April 2028
New Block Reward
1.5625 BTC
역대 halving 기록
halving #1
November 28, 2012
halving 후 보상
25 BTC
Halving 시점 가격
$12
Price 1 Year Later
$1,100
9067%halving #2
July 9, 2016
halving 후 보상
12.5 BTC
Halving 시점 가격
$650
Price 1 Year Later
$2,500
285%halving #3
May 11, 2020
halving 후 보상
6.25 BTC
Halving 시점 가격
$8,700
Price 1 Year Later
$56,000
544%halving #4
April 19, 2024
halving 후 보상
3.125 BTC
Halving 시점 가격
$63,800
Price 1 Year Later
TBD
Bitcoin Halving이란 무엇인가요?
All investments carry risk. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile. Gold prices can also fluctuate. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This guide is educational only — not financial or investment advice.
Digital gold versus physical gold. Compare the two most prominent store-of-value assets across scarcity, returns, volatility, and portfolio fit.
Halving 메커니즘은 어떻게 작동하나요?
Bitcoin is better for growth potential and digital-native investors. Gold is better for capital preservation and proven stability.
Block 0 – 209,999 · 50 BTC per block
Block 210,000 – 419,999 · 25 BTC per block
Block 420,000 – 629,999 · 12.5 BTC per block
Block 630,000 – 839,999 · 6.25 BTC per block
Block 840,000–1,049,999 → 3.125 BTC (current)
Block 1,050,000+ → 1.5625 BTC (next_halving)
Bitcoin, launched in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto, is the world's first and largest cryptocurrency. Often called "digital gold," it was designed as a decentralised, peer-to-peer monetary system with a mathematically enforced supply cap of 21 million coins.
Halving은 왜 Bitcoin 가격에 영향을 미치나요?
Bitcoin's scarcity is guaranteed by code, not geology. The halving mechanism reduces new supply issuance by 50% approximately every four years, making Bitcoin the first asset with a perfectly predictable and decreasing inflation rate. As of 2024, approximately 19.7 million BTC have been mined.
| 지표 | Before 2024 | After 2024 | After 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Block reward | 6.25 BTC | 3.125 BTC | 1.5625 BTC |
| Daily new BTC | ~900 BTC | ~450 BTC | ~225 BTC |
| Annual inflation | ~1.7% | ~0.85% | ~0.4% |
Halving 이후 가격 패턴
Pre-Halving Accumulation (6–12 months before)
Smart money and long-term holders accumulate BTC in anticipation. Price typically rises 30–100% in the months leading up to the halving.
Post-Halving Consolidation (0–6 months after)
Price often consolidates or dips as the event is 'priced in.' This phase tests the patience of speculators.
Parabolic Rally (6–18 months after)
The supply reduction takes effect. New demand from retail FOMO and institutional interest drives exponential price growth.
Blow-Off Top & Bear Market (18–30 months after)
Euphoria peaks, prices overshoot, and a correction follows. The bear market typically retraces 70–85% from the all-time high.
중요한 주의사항: With only four halvings in Bitcoin's history, the sample size is too small to draw statistically significant conclusions. Each cycle has unique macro conditions.
자주 묻는 질문
다음 Bitcoin halving은 언제인가요?+
halving은 항상 가격 상승을 유발하나요?+
Bitcoin 2,100만 개가 모두 채굴되면 어떻게 되나요?+
halving 일정을 변경할 수 있나요?+
halving 전에 Bitcoin을 사야 하나요, 후에 사야 하나요?+
Bitcoin의 halving은 다른 암호화폐 공급 메커니즘과 어떻게 다른가요?+
Gold has been a universal store of value for over 5,000 years, outlasting every fiat currency, empire, and financial system in history. Its unique chemical properties — it doesn't corrode, is easily malleable, and is scarce enough to be valuable but plentiful enough to serve as money — make it irreplaceable.
Institutional adoption has accelerated with the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US, sovereign adoption (El Salvador), and corporate treasury strategies (MicroStrategy, Tesla). Bitcoin trades 24/7 on global exchanges with deep liquidity.