719
days
14
Hours
53
Minutes
02
Seconds
~50.6% 自上次減半以來已開採的區塊比例
Estimated Date
April 2028
New Block Reward
1.5625 BTC
歷次減半紀錄
halving #1
November 28, 2012
減半後的獎勵
25 BTC
減半時的價格
$12
Price 1 Year Later
$1,100
9067%halving #2
July 9, 2016
減半後的獎勵
12.5 BTC
減半時的價格
$650
Price 1 Year Later
$2,500
285%halving #3
May 11, 2020
減半後的獎勵
6.25 BTC
減半時的價格
$8,700
Price 1 Year Later
$56,000
544%halving #4
April 19, 2024
減半後的獎勵
3.125 BTC
減半時的價格
$63,800
Price 1 Year Later
TBD
什麼是 Bitcoin 減半？
All investments carry risk. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile. Gold prices can also fluctuate. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This guide is educational only — not financial or investment advice.
Digital gold versus physical gold. Compare the two most prominent store-of-value assets across scarcity, returns, volatility, and portfolio fit.
減半機制是如何運作的？
Bitcoin is better for growth potential and digital-native investors. Gold is better for capital preservation and proven stability.
Block 0 – 209,999 · 50 BTC per block
Block 210,000 – 419,999 · 25 BTC per block
Block 420,000 – 629,999 · 12.5 BTC per block
Block 630,000 – 839,999 · 6.25 BTC per block
Block 840,000–1,049,999 → 3.125 BTC (current)
Block 1,050,000+ → 1.5625 BTC (next_halving)
Bitcoin, launched in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto, is the world's first and largest cryptocurrency. Often called "digital gold," it was designed as a decentralised, peer-to-peer monetary system with a mathematically enforced supply cap of 21 million coins.
為什麼減半會影響 Bitcoin 的價格？
Bitcoin's scarcity is guaranteed by code, not geology. The halving mechanism reduces new supply issuance by 50% approximately every four years, making Bitcoin the first asset with a perfectly predictable and decreasing inflation rate. As of 2024, approximately 19.7 million BTC have been mined.
| 指標 | Before 2024 | After 2024 | After 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Block reward | 6.25 BTC | 3.125 BTC | 1.5625 BTC |
| Daily new BTC | ~900 BTC | ~450 BTC | ~225 BTC |
| Annual inflation | ~1.7% | ~0.85% | ~0.4% |
減半後的價格走勢
Pre-Halving Accumulation (6–12 months before)
Smart money and long-term holders accumulate BTC in anticipation. Price typically rises 30–100% in the months leading up to the halving.
Post-Halving Consolidation (0–6 months after)
Price often consolidates or dips as the event is 'priced in.' This phase tests the patience of speculators.
Parabolic Rally (6–18 months after)
The supply reduction takes effect. New demand from retail FOMO and institutional interest drives exponential price growth.
Blow-Off Top & Bear Market (18–30 months after)
Euphoria peaks, prices overshoot, and a correction follows. The bear market typically retraces 70–85% from the all-time high.
重要提示： With only four halvings in Bitcoin's history, the sample size is too small to draw statistically significant conclusions. Each cycle has unique macro conditions.
常見問題
下一次 Bitcoin 減半是什麼時候？+
減半是否必然導致價格上漲？+
當 2,100 萬枚 Bitcoin 全部被挖出後會發生什麼？+
減半時間表可以被更改嗎？+
我應該在減半前還是減半後買入 Bitcoin？+
Bitcoin 的減半機制與其他加密貨幣的供應機制相比有何不同？+
Gold has been a universal store of value for over 5,000 years, outlasting every fiat currency, empire, and financial system in history. Its unique chemical properties — it doesn't corrode, is easily malleable, and is scarce enough to be valuable but plentiful enough to serve as money — make it irreplaceable.
Institutional adoption has accelerated with the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US, sovereign adoption (El Salvador), and corporate treasury strategies (MicroStrategy, Tesla). Bitcoin trades 24/7 on global exchanges with deep liquidity.