爆仓 热力图。
查看假定杠杆分布所对应的清算价位。这些聚集区来自 Binance 持仓量的净变化,既不展示账户实际仓位,也不预测价格走向。
示例模型采用已结束小时的标记价格,以及按基础资产单位计量的持仓量。不计入时间窗口开始前的仓位。杠杆、入场时点和减仓方式均为假设;这些数值并非已观测到的清算订单。
观测频率为每小时;本页是某一时点的快照。重新加载可获取更新的模型。
数据获取时间:
BTC 标记价格 $75,647
模型双边敞口: $3.99B模型时间:
上方最大空单聚集: $79,982 (+5.7% 距离) · $158.0M
下方最大多单聚集: $74,638 (-1.3% 距离) · $220.6M
横向滚动可查看完整时间轴。
快照包含所有有敞口的价格区间,分别显示多头和空头数值。
| 价位 | 多头 | 空头 |
|---|---|---|
| $89,231 – $89,642 | $0 | $549,544 |
| $88,820 – $89,231 | $0 | $57.5M |
| $88,409 – $88,820 | $0 | $30.7M |
| $87,998 – $88,409 | $0 | $35.8M |
| $87,587 – $87,998 | $0 | $41.2M |
| $87,175 – $87,587 | $0 | $59.5M |
| $86,764 – $87,175 | $0 | $28.5M |
| $86,353 – $86,764 | $0 | $79.5M |
| $85,942 – $86,353 | $0 | $80.4M |
| $85,531 – $85,942 | $0 | $116.9M |
| $85,120 – $85,531 | $0 | $71.9M |
| $84,709 – $85,120 | $0 | $133.7M |
| $84,298 – $84,709 | $0 | $149.0M |
| $83,887 – $84,298 | $0 | $151.0M |
| $83,476 – $83,887 | $0 | $40.8M |
| $83,065 – $83,476 | $0 | $95.9M |
| $82,654 – $83,065 | $0 | $96.0M |
| $82,243 – $82,654 | $0 | $102.8M |
| $81,832 – $82,243 | $0 | $39.8M |
| $81,421 – $81,832 | $0 | $77.9M |
| $81,010 – $81,421 | $0 | $100.2M |
| $80,599 – $81,010 | $0 | $77.7M |
| $80,187 – $80,599 | $0 | $109.0M |
| $79,776 – $80,187 | $0 | $158.0M |
| $79,365 – $79,776 | $0 | $32.2M |
| $78,954 – $79,365 | $0 | $40.8M |
| $78,543 – $78,954 | $0 | $62.9M |
| $78,132 – $78,543 | $0 | $93.8M |
| $77,721 – $78,132 | $0 | $39.8M |
| $77,310 – $77,721 | $0 | $28.1M |
| $76,899 – $77,310 | $0 | $30.8M |
| $76,488 – $76,899 | $0 | $45.7M |
| $76,077 – $76,488 | $0 | $409,129 |
| $75,647 | 标记价格 | |
| $74,844 – $75,255 | $24.7M | $0 |
| $74,433 – $74,844 | $220.6M | $0 |
| $74,022 – $74,433 | $176.1M | $0 |
| $73,611 – $74,022 | $71.9M | $0 |
| $73,199 – $73,611 | $81.0M | $0 |
| $72,788 – $73,199 | $103.0M | $0 |
| $72,377 – $72,788 | $76.2M | $0 |
| $71,966 – $72,377 | $51.1M | $0 |
| $71,555 – $71,966 | $44.3M | $0 |
| $71,144 – $71,555 | $101.5M | $0 |
| $70,733 – $71,144 | $148.9M | $0 |
| $70,322 – $70,733 | $79.8M | $0 |
| $69,911 – $70,322 | $132.5M | $0 |
| $69,500 – $69,911 | $172.5M | $0 |
| $69,089 – $69,500 | $99.2M | $0 |
| $68,267 – $68,678 | $95.8M | $0 |
| $67,856 – $68,267 | $6.5M | $0 |
ETH 标记价格 $2,391
模型双边敞口: $1.98B模型时间:
上方最大空单聚集: $2,748 (+14.9% 距离) · $129.7M
下方最大多单聚集: $2,272 (-5% 距离) · $138.5M
横向滚动可查看完整时间轴。
快照包含所有有敞口的价格区间,分别显示多头和空头数值。
| 价位 | 多头 | 空头 |
|---|---|---|
| $2,870 – $2,885 | $0 | $19.6M |
| $2,856 – $2,870 | $0 | $46.7M |
| $2,798 – $2,813 | $0 | $1.1M |
| $2,784 – $2,798 | $0 | $785,309 |
| $2,769 – $2,784 | $0 | $31.5M |
| $2,755 – $2,769 | $0 | $40.6M |
| $2,741 – $2,755 | $0 | $129.7M |
| $2,726 – $2,741 | $0 | $104.9M |
| $2,712 – $2,726 | $0 | $78.5M |
| $2,697 – $2,712 | $0 | $105.1M |
| $2,683 – $2,697 | $0 | $61.6M |
| $2,669 – $2,683 | $0 | $44.8M |
| $2,654 – $2,669 | $0 | $47.9M |
| $2,640 – $2,654 | $0 | $47.0M |
| $2,625 – $2,640 | $0 | $28.0M |
| $2,611 – $2,625 | $0 | $56.9M |
| $2,596 – $2,611 | $0 | $4.6M |
| $2,582 – $2,596 | $0 | $3.7M |
| $2,568 – $2,582 | $0 | $7.4M |
| $2,553 – $2,568 | $0 | $11.4M |
| $2,539 – $2,553 | $0 | $3.8M |
| $2,524 – $2,539 | $0 | $9.0M |
| $2,510 – $2,524 | $0 | $29.8M |
| $2,495 – $2,510 | $0 | $11.8M |
| $2,481 – $2,495 | $0 | $29.4M |
| $2,467 – $2,481 | $0 | $13.1M |
| $2,452 – $2,467 | $0 | $20.0M |
| $2,438 – $2,452 | $0 | $11.7M |
| $2,423 – $2,438 | $0 | $19.4M |
| $2,409 – $2,423 | $0 | $900,008 |
| $2,394 – $2,409 | $0 | $1.9M |
| $2,391 | 标记价格 | |
| $2,366 – $2,380 | $6.2M | $0 |
| $2,351 – $2,366 | $96.5M | $0 |
| $2,337 – $2,351 | $57.1M | $0 |
| $2,322 – $2,337 | $48.7M | $0 |
| $2,308 – $2,322 | $38.7M | $0 |
| $2,294 – $2,308 | $33.3M | $0 |
| $2,279 – $2,294 | $45.4M | $0 |
| $2,265 – $2,279 | $138.5M | $0 |
| $2,250 – $2,265 | $113.9M | $0 |
| $2,236 – $2,250 | $76.4M | $0 |
| $2,221 – $2,236 | $63.8M | $0 |
| $2,207 – $2,221 | $56.7M | $0 |
| $2,193 – $2,207 | $59.9M | $0 |
| $2,178 – $2,193 | $48.0M | $0 |
| $2,164 – $2,178 | $37.6M | $0 |
| $2,149 – $2,164 | $31.3M | $0 |
| $2,135 – $2,149 | $6.9M | $0 |
SOL 标记价格 $97
模型双边敞口: $426.2M模型时间:
上方最大空单聚集: $107 (+10.1% 距离) · $23.9M
下方最大多单聚集: $93 (-4.1% 距离) · $16.4M
横向滚动可查看完整时间轴。
快照包含所有有敞口的价格区间,分别显示多头和空头数值。
| 价位 | 多头 | 空头 |
|---|---|---|
| $120 – $120 | $0 | $919,130 |
| $119 – $120 | $0 | $1.8M |
| $118 – $119 | $0 | $1.2M |
| $118 – $118 | $0 | $107,283 |
| $117 – $118 | $0 | $2.5M |
| $116 – $117 | $0 | $7.8M |
| $116 – $116 | $0 | $5.1M |
| $115 – $116 | $0 | $3.4M |
| $115 – $115 | $0 | $8.4M |
| $114 – $115 | $0 | $7.6M |
| $113 – $114 | $0 | $10.4M |
| $113 – $113 | $0 | $15.4M |
| $112 – $113 | $0 | $4.7M |
| $111 – $112 | $0 | $14.3M |
| $111 – $111 | $0 | $15.3M |
| $110 – $111 | $0 | $18.6M |
| $110 – $110 | $0 | $8.0M |
| $109 – $110 | $0 | $12.0M |
| $108 – $109 | $0 | $19.6M |
| $108 – $108 | $0 | $12.9M |
| $107 – $108 | $0 | $23.9M |
| $106 – $107 | $0 | $12.4M |
| $106 – $106 | $0 | $6.5M |
| $105 – $106 | $0 | $13.5M |
| $104 – $105 | $0 | $5.9M |
| $104 – $104 | $0 | $528,754 |
| $103 – $104 | $0 | $449,918 |
| $103 – $103 | $0 | $3.3M |
| $102 – $103 | $0 | $4.1M |
| $101 – $102 | $0 | $3.0M |
| $101 – $101 | $0 | $9.0M |
| $100 – $101 | $0 | $4.1M |
| $99 – $100 | $0 | $2.4M |
| $99 – $99 | $0 | $5.2M |
| $97 | 标记价格 | |
| $97 – $98 | $49,983 | $0 |
| $96 – $97 | $185,862 | $0 |
| $96 – $96 | $13.2M | $0 |
| $95 – $96 | $14.6M | $0 |
| $94 – $95 | $15.1M | $0 |
| $94 – $94 | $14.5M | $0 |
| $93 – $94 | $16.4M | $0 |
| $92 – $93 | $10.5M | $0 |
| $92 – $92 | $16.0M | $0 |
| $91 – $92 | $14.6M | $0 |
| $91 – $91 | $7.5M | $0 |
| $90 – $91 | $8.7M | $0 |
| $89 – $90 | $11.4M | $0 |
| $89 – $89 | $4.7M | $0 |
| $88 – $89 | $9.3M | $0 |
| $87 – $88 | $5.1M | $0 |
| $87 – $87 | $221,763 | $0 |
XRP 标记价格 $1.286
模型双边敞口: $106.9M模型时间:
上方最大空单聚集: $1.516 (+17.9% 距离) · $9.0M
下方最大多单聚集: $1.249 (-2.8% 距离) · $6.8M
横向滚动可查看完整时间轴。
快照包含所有有敞口的价格区间,分别显示多头和空头数值。
| 价位 | 多头 | 空头 |
|---|---|---|
| $1.613 – $1.622 | $0 | $1.4M |
| $1.603 – $1.613 | $0 | $2.4M |
| $1.594 – $1.603 | $0 | $2.3M |
| $1.585 – $1.594 | $0 | $849,119 |
| $1.576 – $1.585 | $0 | $718,547 |
| $1.567 – $1.576 | $0 | $2.3M |
| $1.557 – $1.567 | $0 | $2.6M |
| $1.548 – $1.557 | $0 | $6.4M |
| $1.539 – $1.548 | $0 | $1.8M |
| $1.530 – $1.539 | $0 | $6.9M |
| $1.521 – $1.530 | $0 | $4.4M |
| $1.511 – $1.521 | $0 | $9.0M |
| $1.502 – $1.511 | $0 | $3.5M |
| $1.493 – $1.502 | $0 | $4.3M |
| $1.484 – $1.493 | $0 | $1.5M |
| $1.465 – $1.475 | $0 | $1.1M |
| $1.456 – $1.465 | $0 | $271,145 |
| $1.447 – $1.456 | $0 | $1.9M |
| $1.429 – $1.438 | $0 | $418,925 |
| $1.419 – $1.429 | $0 | $195,396 |
| $1.410 – $1.419 | $0 | $1.9M |
| $1.401 – $1.410 | $0 | $2.5M |
| $1.392 – $1.401 | $0 | $686,517 |
| $1.383 – $1.392 | $0 | $1.6M |
| $1.364 – $1.373 | $0 | $1.9M |
| $1.346 – $1.355 | $0 | $1.6M |
| $1.337 – $1.346 | $0 | $1.7M |
| $1.328 – $1.337 | $0 | $3.7M |
| $1.318 – $1.328 | $0 | $686,517 |
| $1.286 | 标记价格 | |
| $1.245 – $1.254 | $6.8M | $0 |
| $1.236 – $1.245 | $4.5M | $0 |
| $1.226 – $1.236 | $3.5M | $0 |
| $1.217 – $1.226 | $5.2M | $0 |
| $1.208 – $1.217 | $4.7M | $0 |
| $1.199 – $1.208 | $2.5M | $0 |
| $1.190 – $1.199 | $2.4M | $0 |
| $1.162 – $1.171 | $2.0M | $0 |
| $1.153 – $1.162 | $2.5M | $0 |
| $1.144 – $1.153 | $2.0M | $0 |
| $1.134 – $1.144 | $278,637 | $0 |
这张图是怎么算出来的——以及它无法告诉你什么
清算取决于账户权益与维持保证金要求,包括仓位规模、抵押品、保证金模式和费用。本页不观测这些账户细节,而是依据假定入场价与杠杆设置给出示例价位。
模型仅覆盖 Binance USDⓈ-M 的 BTC、ETH、SOL 和 XRP 合约。不计入窗口开始前的未知仓位,也无法识别相互抵消的开仓与平仓。聚集区是这些假设的产物,并非价格会被吸引过去的证据。
方法论 —— 这张图背后的确切模型
输入为 Binance 已结束小时的标记价格 K 线,以及按基础资产单位计量的持仓量。持仓量时间戳表示周期结束,与刚收盘的 K 线对齐;不使用尚未结束的 K 线。USDT 价格视作 USD 的近似值;其他显示货币使用本站外汇换算,并非实测 USDT/USD 汇率。
只有基础资产单位持仓量的正向变化才会新增模型仓位。美元计价持仓量的变化不能证明有新开仓。持仓量只计算配对合约的一侧,因此两侧各获得完整的基础资产增量,不除以二。每个历史时间列按当时的标记价格估值。多空相加的模型总额并不等于交易所报告的持仓量。
假定杠杆分布为 10× 占 30%、25× 占 30%、50× 占 25%、100× 占 15%。设入场价 P、杠杆 L,当前名义价值的固定维持保证金率 MMR 为 0.4%,则多头使用 P × (1 − 1/L) / (1 − MMR),空头使用 P × (1 + 1/L) / (1 + MMR)。这是逐仓示例,忽略费用、资金费和分档扣减,并不复现 Binance 的账户规则。
假定在已结束小时的收盘标记价格入场。之后的标记最低价触及模型多头价位时将其移除,最高价对空头同理。持仓量下降时,剩余数量按当前 OI / 上期 OI 比例缩减;降至零则清空两侧。缺失观测或小时缺口会移除不确定仓位并重建基线。这些是对未知仓位的假设,并非已确认清算。
图表包含 56 个价格区间,最多采样 120 个时间列。阶梯表直接来自最后一列,包含所有有敞口的区间。色带上限为每种币图表最大单元格值的 4%、16%、36%、64% 和 100%。最新模型可下载为 CSV。至少需要 24 个对齐的完整小时;超过两小时的输入视为不可用。页面显示模型和获取时间,重新加载可更新。
常见问题
什么是爆仓热力图?
它按价格与时间展示示例清算价位。本页条形表示依据假定入场价和杠杆计算的模型敞口,不是实测账户仓位。
这是真实数据还是估算?
标记价格和持仓量观测是实际输入;推断的仓位、杠杆分布、入场时间、减仓和清算价位均为假设。图形形态或单个数值都不是经过验证的预测。
为什么强平价会集中在特定价位?
模型中假定的杠杆档位与入场价产生了聚集区。这不能证明交易者采用了这些设置;改变假设就会改变图形。
价格真的会被强平聚集区吸引吗?
本模型未提供可预测吸引力的证据。真实的强制买卖可能影响市场,但本图不能证明这些订单位于何处,也不能说明有多少流动性可以吸收它们。
这和你们的强平追踪有什么不同?
追踪器在已说明的覆盖范围内报告 OKX 公共数据源中观测到的清算订单。本图基于 Binance 估算假设价位,其数值不是追踪器报告的订单。
这涵盖哪家交易所?
仅 Binance USDⓈ-M 的 BTC、ETH、SOL 和 XRP 合约为模型提供输入。其他交易所及窗口开始前的未知仓位不在范围内。杠杆选项相似并不能证明各平台持仓分布相似。