爆仓 热力图。
查看假定杠杆分布所对应的清算价位。这些聚集区来自 Binance 持仓量的净变化,既不展示账户实际仓位,也不预测价格走向。
如何阅读热力图
蓝色条带表示模型中的空头清算,红色表示多头清算。颜色越强,模型敞口越大。实线表示历史标记价格,虚线表示最新标记价格。
模型假设
示例模型采用已结束小时的标记价格,以及按基础资产单位计量的持仓量。不计入时间窗口开始前的仓位。杠杆、入场时点和减仓方式均为假设;这些数值并非已观测到的清算订单。
Binance USDT 合约。数值以 USDT 近似代表 USD;其他货币使用展示汇率换算。
观测频率为每小时;本页是某一时点的快照。重新加载可获取更新的模型。
数据获取时间:
BTC 标记价格 $84,347.94
模型双边敞口: $5.24B模型时间:
上方最大空单聚集: $87,678.90 (+3.9% 距离) · $245.5M
下方最大多单聚集: $82,577.83 (-2.1% 距离) · $237.7M
横向滚动可查看完整时间轴。
悬停或轻点图表可查看价位。点击固定选择;用方向键探索,按 Escape 取消固定。
时间范围仅缩放抽样历史,不会重新计算模型。下方摘要始终使用最新快照。
- 价位
- 标记价格
- 多头
- 空头
- 距当时标记价格的幅度
数据不可用或已过期
最新标记价格附近 ±5%
- 多头
- $1.49B
- 空头
- $690.5M
合计包含中心点位于所选距离内的价格区间。这些是模型敞口,并非预期损失或价格预测。
查看所有价格区间 (48)
快照包含所有有敞口的价格区间,分别显示多头和空头数值。
| 价位 | 多头 | 空头 |
|---|---|---|
| $94,565.35 – $95,075.45 | $0 | $118.8M |
| $94,055.24 – $94,565.35 | $0 | $59.8M |
| $93,545.13 – $94,055.24 | $0 | $119.3M |
| $93,035.02 – $93,545.13 | $0 | $128.4M |
| $92,524.92 – $93,035.02 | $0 | $104.3M |
| $92,014.81 – $92,524.92 | $0 | $237.9M |
| $91,504.70 – $92,014.81 | $0 | $98.6M |
| $90,994.60 – $91,504.70 | $0 | $53.3M |
| $90,484.49 – $90,994.60 | $0 | $47.4M |
| $89,464.27 – $89,974.38 | $0 | $123.0M |
| $88,954.17 – $89,464.27 | $0 | $103.8M |
| $88,444.06 – $88,954.17 | $0 | $176.6M |
| $87,933.95 – $88,444.06 | $0 | $226.2M |
| $87,423.85 – $87,933.95 | $0 | $245.5M |
| $86,913.74 – $87,423.85 | $0 | $143.8M |
| $86,403.63 – $86,913.74 | $0 | $38.8M |
| $85,893.52 – $86,403.63 | $0 | $21.6M |
| $85,383.42 – $85,893.52 | $0 | $9.1M |
| $84,363.20 – $84,873.31 | $0 | $5.5M |
| $84,347.94 | 标记价格 | |
| $83,853.10 – $84,363.20 | $125.0M | $0 |
| $83,342.99 – $83,853.10 | $195.9M | $0 |
| $82,832.88 – $83,342.99 | $177.0M | $0 |
| $82,322.77 – $82,832.88 | $237.7M | $0 |
| $81,812.67 – $82,322.77 | $204.5M | $0 |
| $81,302.56 – $81,812.67 | $231.9M | $0 |
| $80,792.45 – $81,302.56 | $204.5M | $0 |
| $80,282.35 – $80,792.45 | $112.4M | $0 |
| $79,772.24 – $80,282.35 | $103.2M | $0 |
| $79,262.13 – $79,772.24 | $45.9M | $0 |
| $78,752.02 – $79,262.13 | $29.9M | $0 |
| $78,241.92 – $78,752.02 | $108.8M | $0 |
| $77,731.81 – $78,241.92 | $159.2M | $0 |
| $77,221.70 – $77,731.81 | $155.8M | $0 |
| $76,711.60 – $77,221.70 | $148.7M | $0 |
| $76,201.49 – $76,711.60 | $219.5M | $0 |
| $75,691.38 – $76,201.49 | $198.1M | $0 |
| $75,181.28 – $75,691.38 | $125.5M | $0 |
| $74,671.17 – $75,181.28 | $68.7M | $0 |
| $74,161.06 – $74,671.17 | $39.7M | $0 |
| $73,650.95 – $74,161.06 | $49.5M | $0 |
| $73,140.85 – $73,650.95 | $52.1M | $0 |
| $72,630.74 – $73,140.85 | $73.1M | $0 |
| $72,120.63 – $72,630.74 | $25.6M | $0 |
| $70,080.20 – $70,590.31 | $3.8M | $0 |
| $69,570.10 – $70,080.20 | $6.3M | $0 |
| $69,059.99 – $69,570.10 | $31.3M | $0 |
| $68,549.88 – $69,059.99 | $12.4M | $0 |
| $68,039.78 – $68,549.88 | $27.8M | $0 |
ETH 标记价格 $2,656.31
模型双边敞口: $3.46B模型时间:
上方最大空单聚集: $2,788.23 (+5% 距离) · $173.4M
下方最大多单聚集: $2,634.87 (-0.8% 距离) · $204.9M
横向滚动可查看完整时间轴。
悬停或轻点图表可查看价位。点击固定选择;用方向键探索,按 Escape 取消固定。
时间范围仅缩放抽样历史,不会重新计算模型。下方摘要始终使用最新快照。
- 价位
- 标记价格
- 多头
- 空头
- 距当时标记价格的幅度
数据不可用或已过期
最新标记价格附近 ±5%
- 多头
- $865.2M
- 空头
- $419.2M
合计包含中心点位于所选距离内的价格区间。这些是模型敞口,并非预期损失或价格预测。
查看所有价格区间 (49)
快照包含所有有敞口的价格区间,分别显示多头和空头数值。
| 价位 | 多头 | 空头 |
|---|---|---|
| $3,035.31 – $3,052.35 | $0 | $16.3M |
| $3,018.27 – $3,035.31 | $0 | $12.6M |
| $3,001.23 – $3,018.27 | $0 | $82.0M |
| $2,984.19 – $3,001.23 | $0 | $111.3M |
| $2,967.15 – $2,984.19 | $0 | $119.8M |
| $2,950.11 – $2,967.15 | $0 | $96.0M |
| $2,933.07 – $2,950.11 | $0 | $143.4M |
| $2,916.03 – $2,933.07 | $0 | $61.8M |
| $2,898.99 – $2,916.03 | $0 | $34.8M |
| $2,881.95 – $2,898.99 | $0 | $32.3M |
| $2,864.91 – $2,881.95 | $0 | $34.2M |
| $2,847.87 – $2,864.91 | $0 | $56.3M |
| $2,830.83 – $2,847.87 | $0 | $72.3M |
| $2,813.79 – $2,830.83 | $0 | $168.3M |
| $2,796.75 – $2,813.79 | $0 | $150.1M |
| $2,779.71 – $2,796.75 | $0 | $173.4M |
| $2,762.67 – $2,779.71 | $0 | $130.4M |
| $2,745.63 – $2,762.67 | $0 | $48.6M |
| $2,728.59 – $2,745.63 | $0 | $54.6M |
| $2,711.55 – $2,728.59 | $0 | $4.4M |
| $2,694.51 – $2,711.55 | $0 | $6.5M |
| $2,660.43 – $2,677.47 | $0 | $1.4M |
| $2,656.31 | 标记价格 | |
| $2,643.39 – $2,660.43 | $54.9M | $0 |
| $2,626.35 – $2,643.39 | $204.9M | $0 |
| $2,609.31 – $2,626.35 | $177.6M | $0 |
| $2,592.27 – $2,609.31 | $140.1M | $0 |
| $2,575.23 – $2,592.27 | $143.2M | $0 |
| $2,558.19 – $2,575.23 | $64.7M | $0 |
| $2,541.15 – $2,558.19 | $38.5M | $0 |
| $2,524.11 – $2,541.15 | $41.3M | $0 |
| $2,507.07 – $2,524.11 | $25.6M | $0 |
| $2,490.03 – $2,507.07 | $27.9M | $0 |
| $2,472.99 – $2,490.03 | $105.8M | $0 |
| $2,455.95 – $2,472.99 | $145.9M | $0 |
| $2,438.91 – $2,455.95 | $158.5M | $0 |
| $2,421.87 – $2,438.91 | $173.8M | $0 |
| $2,404.83 – $2,421.87 | $96.1M | $0 |
| $2,387.79 – $2,404.83 | $71.0M | $0 |
| $2,370.75 – $2,387.79 | $41.4M | $0 |
| $2,353.71 – $2,370.75 | $33.2M | $0 |
| $2,336.67 – $2,353.71 | $16.7M | $0 |
| $2,319.63 – $2,336.67 | $24.0M | $0 |
| $2,302.59 – $2,319.63 | $9.0M | $0 |
| $2,234.43 – $2,251.47 | $19.1M | $0 |
| $2,217.39 – $2,234.43 | $17.1M | $0 |
| $2,200.35 – $2,217.39 | $2.2M | $0 |
| $2,183.31 – $2,200.35 | $6.7M | $0 |
| $2,166.27 – $2,183.31 | $1.9M | $0 |
| $2,149.23 – $2,166.27 | $6.4M | $0 |
SOL 标记价格 $118.93
模型双边敞口: $688.7M模型时间:
上方最大空单聚集: $126.03 (+6% 距离) · $38.0M
下方最大多单聚集: $109.66 (-7.8% 距离) · $39.1M
横向滚动可查看完整时间轴。
悬停或轻点图表可查看价位。点击固定选择;用方向键探索,按 Escape 取消固定。
时间范围仅缩放抽样历史,不会重新计算模型。下方摘要始终使用最新快照。
- 价位
- 标记价格
- 多头
- 空头
- 距当时标记价格的幅度
数据不可用或已过期
最新标记价格附近 ±5%
- 多头
- $133.6M
- 空头
- $58.2M
合计包含中心点位于所选距离内的价格区间。这些是模型敞口,并非预期损失或价格预测。
查看所有价格区间 (54)
快照包含所有有敞口的价格区间,分别显示多头和空头数值。
| 价位 | 多头 | 空头 |
|---|---|---|
| $135.59 – $136.50 | $0 | $4.7M |
| $134.68 – $135.59 | $0 | $7.5M |
| $133.77 – $134.68 | $0 | $1.4M |
| $132.86 – $133.77 | $0 | $29.4M |
| $131.95 – $132.86 | $0 | $27.6M |
| $131.04 – $131.95 | $0 | $11.4M |
| $130.13 – $131.04 | $0 | $20.0M |
| $129.22 – $130.13 | $0 | $16.2M |
| $128.31 – $129.22 | $0 | $16.4M |
| $127.40 – $128.31 | $0 | $19.3M |
| $126.49 – $127.40 | $0 | $6.8M |
| $125.58 – $126.49 | $0 | $38.0M |
| $124.67 – $125.58 | $0 | $38.0M |
| $123.76 – $124.67 | $0 | $24.8M |
| $122.85 – $123.76 | $0 | $16.6M |
| $121.94 – $122.85 | $0 | $14.4M |
| $121.03 – $121.94 | $0 | $1.3M |
| $120.12 – $121.03 | $0 | $652,372 |
| $119.21 – $120.12 | $0 | $391,423 |
| $118.93 | 标记价格 | |
| $118.30 – $119.21 | $10.5M | $0 |
| $117.39 – $118.30 | $11.8M | $0 |
| $116.48 – $117.39 | $29.0M | $0 |
| $115.57 – $116.48 | $23.9M | $0 |
| $114.66 – $115.57 | $28.7M | $0 |
| $113.75 – $114.66 | $19.4M | $0 |
| $112.84 – $113.75 | $10.3M | $0 |
| $111.93 – $112.84 | $15.6M | $0 |
| $111.02 – $111.93 | $14.5M | $0 |
| $110.11 – $111.02 | $16.8M | $0 |
| $109.20 – $110.11 | $39.1M | $0 |
| $108.29 – $109.20 | $20.6M | $0 |
| $107.38 – $108.29 | $24.8M | $0 |
| $106.47 – $107.38 | $30.3M | $0 |
| $105.56 – $106.47 | $14.5M | $0 |
| $104.65 – $105.56 | $15.4M | $0 |
| $103.74 – $104.65 | $6.7M | $0 |
| $102.83 – $103.74 | $2.4M | $0 |
| $101.92 – $102.83 | $6.5M | $0 |
| $101.01 – $101.92 | $5.3M | $0 |
| $100.10 – $101.01 | $10.2M | $0 |
| $99.19 – $100.10 | $4.6M | $0 |
| $98.28 – $99.19 | $6.6M | $0 |
| $97.37 – $98.28 | $2.5M | $0 |
| $96.46 – $97.37 | $2.4M | $0 |
| $95.55 – $96.46 | $6.0M | $0 |
| $94.64 – $95.55 | $1.9M | $0 |
| $93.73 – $94.64 | $2.2M | $0 |
| $92.82 – $93.73 | $876,147 | $0 |
| $91.91 – $92.82 | $2.4M | $0 |
| $91.00 – $91.91 | $1.2M | $0 |
| $90.09 – $91.00 | $3.0M | $0 |
| $89.18 – $90.09 | $776,707 | $0 |
| $88.27 – $89.18 | $2.2M | $0 |
| $87.36 – $88.27 | $876,147 | $0 |
XRP 标记价格 $1.4755
模型双边敞口: $324.7M模型时间:
上方最大空单聚集: $1.6299 (+10.5% 距离) · $14.4M
下方最大多单聚集: $1.4306 (-3% 距离) · $18.7M
横向滚动可查看完整时间轴。
悬停或轻点图表可查看价位。点击固定选择;用方向键探索,按 Escape 取消固定。
时间范围仅缩放抽样历史,不会重新计算模型。下方摘要始终使用最新快照。
- 价位
- 标记价格
- 多头
- 空头
- 距当时标记价格的幅度
数据不可用或已过期
最新标记价格附近 ±5%
- 多头
- $63.9M
- 空头
- $17.0M
合计包含中心点位于所选距离内的价格区间。这些是模型敞口,并非预期损失或价格预测。
查看所有价格区间 (53)
快照包含所有有敞口的价格区间,分别显示多头和空头数值。
| 价位 | 多头 | 空头 |
|---|---|---|
| $1.7857 – $1.7981 | $0 | $1.5M |
| $1.7732 – $1.7857 | $0 | $742,967 |
| $1.7608 – $1.7732 | $0 | $438,195 |
| $1.7483 – $1.7608 | $0 | $1.1M |
| $1.7358 – $1.7483 | $0 | $4.7M |
| $1.7234 – $1.7358 | $0 | $710,535 |
| $1.7109 – $1.7234 | $0 | $1.1M |
| $1.6985 – $1.7109 | $0 | $1.2M |
| $1.6860 – $1.6985 | $0 | $8.8M |
| $1.6735 – $1.6860 | $0 | $12.1M |
| $1.6611 – $1.6735 | $0 | $10.3M |
| $1.6486 – $1.6611 | $0 | $10.0M |
| $1.6361 – $1.6486 | $0 | $10.2M |
| $1.6237 – $1.6361 | $0 | $14.4M |
| $1.6112 – $1.6237 | $0 | $6.2M |
| $1.5988 – $1.6112 | $0 | $4.9M |
| $1.5863 – $1.5988 | $0 | $9.5M |
| $1.5738 – $1.5863 | $0 | $6.1M |
| $1.5614 – $1.5738 | $0 | $13.5M |
| $1.5489 – $1.5614 | $0 | $11.8M |
| $1.5365 – $1.5489 | $0 | $7.4M |
| $1.5240 – $1.5365 | $0 | $5.9M |
| $1.5115 – $1.5240 | $0 | $924,875 |
| $1.4991 – $1.5115 | $0 | $366,469 |
| $1.4866 – $1.4991 | $0 | $1.5M |
| $1.4742 – $1.4866 | $1.6M | $897,771 |
| $1.4755 | 标记价格 | |
| $1.4617 – $1.4742 | $9.0M | $0 |
| $1.4492 – $1.4617 | $5.2M | $0 |
| $1.4368 – $1.4492 | $15.3M | $0 |
| $1.4243 – $1.4368 | $18.7M | $0 |
| $1.4119 – $1.4243 | $9.3M | $0 |
| $1.3994 – $1.4119 | $4.9M | $0 |
| $1.3869 – $1.3994 | $12.5M | $0 |
| $1.3745 – $1.3869 | $11.1M | $0 |
| $1.3620 – $1.3745 | $9.5M | $0 |
| $1.3496 – $1.3620 | $17.8M | $0 |
| $1.3371 – $1.3496 | $17.4M | $0 |
| $1.3246 – $1.3371 | $9.2M | $0 |
| $1.3122 – $1.3246 | $2.3M | $0 |
| $1.2997 – $1.3122 | $2.9M | $0 |
| $1.2873 – $1.2997 | $3.6M | $0 |
| $1.2748 – $1.2873 | $6.6M | $0 |
| $1.2623 – $1.2748 | $2.7M | $0 |
| $1.2499 – $1.2623 | $3.8M | $0 |
| $1.2374 – $1.2499 | $3.9M | $0 |
| $1.2250 – $1.2374 | $2.0M | $0 |
| $1.2125 – $1.2250 | $666,311 | $0 |
| $1.2000 – $1.2125 | $1.2M | $0 |
| $1.1876 – $1.2000 | $1.0M | $0 |
| $1.1751 – $1.1876 | $1.7M | $0 |
| $1.1627 – $1.1751 | $2.9M | $0 |
| $1.1502 – $1.1627 | $1.3M | $0 |
| $1.1377 – $1.1502 | $666,311 | $0 |
这张图是怎么算出来的——以及它无法告诉你什么
清算取决于账户权益与维持保证金要求,包括仓位规模、抵押品、保证金模式和费用。本页不观测这些账户细节,而是依据假定入场价与杠杆设置给出示例价位。
方法论 —— 这张图背后的确切模型
输入为已结束小时的标记价格 K 线,以及按基础资产单位计量的持仓量。持仓量时间戳表示周期结束,与刚收盘的 K 线对齐;不使用尚未结束的 K 线。USDT 价格视作 USD 的近似值;其他显示货币使用本站外汇换算,并非实测 USDT/USD 汇率。
只有基础资产单位持仓量的正向变化才会新增模型仓位。美元计价持仓量的变化不能证明有新开仓。持仓量只计算配对合约的一侧,因此两侧各获得完整的基础资产增量,不除以二。每个历史时间列按当时的标记价格估值。多空相加的模型总额并不等于交易所报告的持仓量。
假定杠杆分布为 10× 占 30%、25× 占 30%、50× 占 25%、100× 占 15%。设入场价 P、杠杆 L,当前名义价值的固定维持保证金率 MMR 为 0.4%,则多头使用 P × (1 − 1/L) / (1 − MMR),空头使用 P × (1 + 1/L) / (1 + MMR)。这是逐仓示例,忽略费用、资金费和分档扣减,并不复现 交易所实际账户规则。
假定在已结束小时的收盘标记价格入场。之后的标记最低价触及模型多头价位时将其移除,最高价对空头同理。持仓量下降时,剩余数量按当前 OI / 上期 OI 比例缩减;降至零则清空两侧。缺失观测或小时缺口会移除不确定仓位并重建基线。这些是对未知仓位的假设,并非已确认清算。
图表包含 56 个价格区间,最多采样 120 个时间列。阶梯表直接来自最后一列,包含所有有敞口的区间。色带上限为每种币图表最大单元格值的 4%、16%、36%、64% 和 100%。最新模型可下载为 CSV。至少需要 24 个对齐的完整小时;超过两小时的输入视为不可用。页面显示模型和获取时间,重新加载可更新。
常见问题
什么是爆仓热力图?
它按价格与时间展示示例清算价位。本页条形表示依据假定入场价和杠杆计算的模型敞口,不是实测账户仓位。
这是真实数据还是估算?
标记价格和持仓量观测是实际输入;推断的仓位、杠杆分布、入场时间、减仓和清算价位均为假设。图形形态或单个数值都不是经过验证的预测。
为什么强平价会集中在特定价位?
模型中假定的杠杆档位与入场价产生了聚集区。这不能证明交易者采用了这些设置;改变假设就会改变图形。
价格真的会被强平聚集区吸引吗?
本模型未提供可预测吸引力的证据。真实的强制买卖可能影响市场,但本图不能证明这些订单位于何处,也不能说明有多少流动性可以吸收它们。
这和你们的强平追踪有什么不同?
清算追踪器展示覆盖交易所报告的强平订单或已执行的强平成交,并受页面所述数据流和历史存档范围限制。本热力图根据标记价格和未平仓合约观测值模拟假设的清算价位;模型敞口不同于这些已报告事件。